The President of Iran has died

by de_niedon 5/20/24, 2:56 AMwith 30 comments
by ggmon 5/20/24, 3:43 AM

While it might be nice to speculate about a change in posture from the government of Iran, thats very unlikely to flow from this accident: the depth of staff inside the support groups behind the current government is too deep for a rapprochement to emerge, simply because the name on the door changes. There will be plenty of "obvious candidates" without reaching outside the tent for somebody e.g. who is less harsh about scarf culture, or the green movement.

They have the option. It's always possible they will seek to take it. I think given the extent to which trade with Russia and China is working for them, and the current conflict in the Gaza strip, it's the least likely choice.

Newspapers say the vice has 50 days before an elective process. Could be election amongst the elect or national election, I am unsure.

by de_niedon 5/20/24, 3:20 AM

Additional drone footage of crash site: https://twitter.com/sentdefender/status/1792394111091458484

by hnthrowaway0328on 5/20/24, 3:39 AM

Old helicopter, foggy and mountain terrain. Not a good combination...

by mlinhareson 5/20/24, 3:20 AM

Is there an index of the risk of private flights somewhere?

It definitely feels like most accidents are on private flights when there are many more commercial flights.

by jimbob45on 5/20/24, 3:24 AM

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ebrahim_Raisi

His Wikipedia is kinda funny under Personal Details - Died (probably only for a few more minutes)

by tengbretsonon 5/20/24, 3:17 AM

Was he riding in a Gräf & Stift?

by jerlamon 5/20/24, 3:27 AM

Reminder that the President of Iran is not the head of government. That would be the Supreme Leader of Iran, where the same person has been incumbent for the past 35 years. There may not be a significant impact.